ASPG Menu
search

American Scientific Publishing Group

verified Journal

Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Metaheuristics

ISSN
Online: 2833-5597
Frequency

Continuous publication

Publication Model

Open access · Articles freely available online · $500 APC applies after acceptance

Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Metaheuristics
Full Length Article

Volume 8 • Issue 1 • PP: 01–05 • 2024

An AI-Based System for Predicting Renewable Energy Power Output Using Advanced Optimization Algorithms

Mona Ahmed Yassen 1* ,
Mohamed Gamal Abdel-Fattah 2 ,
Islam Ismail 2 ,
EL-Sayed M. El Kenawy 3 ,
Hossam El-Din Moustafa 2
1Faculty of Artificial Intelligence, Horus University, New Damietta, Egypt
2Department of Electronics and Communications Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Mansoura University, Mansoura 35516, Egypt
3School of ICT, Faculty of Engineering, Design and Information & Communications Technology (EDICT), Bahrain Polytechnic, PO Box 33349, Isa Town, Bahrain
4Jadara University Research Center, Jadara University, Jordan
5Applied Science Research Center, Applied Science Private University, Amman, Jordan
6Department of Communications and Electronics, Delta Higher Institute of Engineering and Technology, Mansoura 35111, Egypt
* Corresponding Author.
verified

Open Access & Copyright

© 2024 The Author(s). Published by ASPG. This article is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0).

Received: March 10, 2024 Revised: May 12, 2024 Accepted: August 14, 2024

Abstract

Accurate forecasting of renewable energy source (RES) generation is increasingly important for effective grid operation and energy management as RES are integrated into electrical grids. Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) algorithms can learn complex relationships from data and provide forecasts, addressing limitations of traditional approaches. This review examines the state of the art and future directions in ML- and DL-based renewable energy forecasting. It surveys the approaches and models used to predict renewable generation and highlights challenges including output uncertainty and variability, data accessibility, and model interpretability. Developing accurate and dependable forecasting models is essential to support the transition to sustainable energy and the integration of RES into electrical grids.

Keywords

Renewable energy Forecasting Machine learning Deep learning Metaheuristic algorithms Wind energy Solar energy

References

[1] W. Strielkowski, L. Civin, E. Tarkhanova, M. Tvaron-aviciene, and Y. Petrenko, “Renewable energy in the sustainable development of electrical power sector: A review,” Energies, vol. 14, no. 24, p. 8240, 2021.

[2] I. Ghalehkhondabi, E. Ardjmand, G. R. Weckman, and W. A. Young, “An overview of energy demand forecast-ing methods published in 2005–2015,” Energy Systems, vol. 8, pp. 411–447, 2017.

[3] A. Krechowicz, M. Krechowicz, and K. Poczeta, “Ma-chine learning approaches to predict electricity produc-tion from renewable energy sources,” Energies, vol. 15, no. 23, p. 9146, 2022.

[4] Y.-Y. Hong and T. R. A. Satriani, “Day-ahead spatiotem-poral wind speed forecasting using robust design-based deep learning neural network,” Energy, vol. 209, p. 118441, 2020.

[5] J. Huertas-Tato, R. Aler, I. M. Galvan, F. J. Rodriguez-Benitez, C. Arbizu-Barrena, and D. Pozo-Vazquez, “A short-term solar radiation forecasting system for the iberian peninsula. part 2: Model blending approaches based on machine learning,” Solar Energy, vol. 195, pp. 685–696, 2020.

[6] F. J. Rodriguez-Benitez, C. Arbizu-Barrena, J. Huertas-Tato, R. Aler-Mur, I. Galvan-Leon, and D. Pozo-Vazquez, “A short-term solar radiation forecasting sys-tem for the iberian peninsula. part 1: Models description and performance assessment,” Solar Energy, vol. 195, pp. 396–412, 2020.

[7] A. Zendehboudi, M. A. Baseer, and R. Saidur, “Appli-cation of support vector machine models for forecasting solar and wind energy resources: A review,” Journal of Cleaner Production, vol. 199, pp. 272–285, 2018.

[8] J. Wang and J. Hu, “A robust combination approach for short-term wind speed forecasting and analysis: Combi-nation of the arima (autoregressive integrated moving average), elm (extreme learning machine), svm (support vector machine), and lssvm (least square svm) forecasts using a gpr (gaussian process regression) model,” En-ergy, vol. 93, pp. 41–56, 2015.

[9] L. Xiao, W. Shao, F. Jin, and Z. Wu, “A self-adaptive kernel extreme learning machine for short-term wind speed forecasting,” Applied Soft Computing, vol. 99, p. 106917, 2021.

[10] E. Cadenas, W. Rivera, R. Campos-Amezcua, and C. Heard, “Wind speed prediction using a univariate arima model and a multivariate narx model,” Energies, vol. 9, no. 2, p. 109, 2016.

[11] Z. Tian, “Short-term wind speed prediction based on lmd and improved fa optimized combined kernel func-tion lssvm,” Engineering Applications of Artificial Intel-ligence, vol. 91, p. 103573, 2020.

[12] G. Alkhayat and R. Mehmood, “A review and taxonomy of wind and solar energy forecasting methods based on deep learning,” Energy and AI, vol. 4, p. 100060, 2021.

[13] T. R. Rajasundrapandiyanleebanon, K. Kumaresan, S. Murugan, M. S. P. Subathra, and M. Sivakumar, “So-lar energy forecasting using machine learning and deep learning techniques,” Archives of Computational Meth-ods in Engineering, vol. 30, no. 5, pp. 3059–3079, 2023.

[14] H. Alkabbani, A. Ahmadian, Q. Zhu, and A. Elkamel, “Machine learning and metaheuristic methods for renew-able power forecasting: A recent review,” Frontiers in Chemical Engineering, vol. 3, p. 665415, 2021.

[15] X. Zhou, C. Liu, Y. Luo, B. Wu, N. Dong, T. Xiao, and H. Zhu, “Wind power forecast based on variational mode decomposition and long short-term memory at-tention network,” Energy Reports, vol. 8, pp. 922–931, 2022.

[16] L.-L. Li, X. Zhao, M.-L. Tseng, and R. R. Tan, “Short-term wind power forecasting based on support vector machine with improved dragonfly algorithm,” Journal of Cleaner Production, vol. 242, p. 118447, 2020.

[17] J. Duan, P. Wang, W. Ma, X. Tian, S. Fang, Y. Cheng, Y. Chang, and H. Liu, “Short-term wind power fore-casting using the hybrid model of improved variational mode decomposition and correntropy long short-term memory neural network,” Energy, vol. 214, p. 118980, 2021.

[18] A. Rafati, M. Joorabian, E. Mashhour, and H. R. Shaker, “High dimensional very short-term solar power forecast-ing based on a data-driven heuristic method,” Energy, vol. 219, p. 119647, 2021.

[19] R. Yin, D. Li, Y. Wang, and W. Chen, “Forecasting method of monthly wind power generation based on climate model and long short-term memory neural net-work,” Global Energy Interconnection, vol. 3, no. 6, pp. 571–576, 2020.

[20] G. Lopez and P. Arboleya, “Short-term wind speed fore-casting over complex terrain using linear regression models and multivariable lstm and narx networks in the andes mountains, ecuador,” Renewable Energy, vol. 183, pp. 351–368, 2022.

[21] K. Mahmud, S. Azam, A. Karim, S. Zobaed, B. Shan-mugam, and D. Mathur, “Machine learning based pv power generation forecasting in alice springs,” IEEE Access, vol. 9, pp. 46 117–46 128, 2021.

[22] S. Kumar and T. Kaur, “Development of ann based model for solar potential assessment using various me-teorological parameters,” Energy Procedia, vol. 90, pp. 587–592, 2016.

[23] S.-C. Lim, J.-H. Huh, S.-H. Hong, C.-Y. Park, and J.-C. Kim, “Solar power forecasting using cnn-lstm hybrid model,” Energies, vol. 15, no. 21, p. 8233, 2022.

[24] B. Gao, X. Huang, J. Shi, Y. Tai, and J. Zhang, “Hourly forecasting of solar irradiance based on ceemdan and multi-strategy cnn-lstm neural networks,” Renewable Energy, vol. 162, pp. 1665–1683, 2020.

[25] D. Cannizzaro, A. Aliberti, L. Bottaccioli, E. Macii, A. Acquaviva, and E. Patti, “Solar radiation forecasting based on convolutional neural network and ensemble learning,” Expert Systems with Applications, vol. 181, p. 115167, 2021.

[26] T. Bokaba, W. Doorsamy, and B. S. Paul, “A compara-tive study of ensemble models for predicting road traffic congestion,” Applied Sciences, vol. 12, no. 3, p. 1337, 2022.

[27] Y. Wu and X. Ma, “A hybrid lstm-kld approach to con-dition monitoring of operational wind turbines,” Renew-able Energy, vol. 181, pp. 554–566, 2022.

[28] B. Fernandez-Gauna, M. Grana, J.-L. Osa-Amilibia, and X. Larrucea, “Actor-critic continuous state rein-forcement learning for wind-turbine control robust opti-mization,” Information Sciences, vol. 591, pp. 365–380, 2022.

[29] J. L. Svensen, H. H. Niemann, A. K. V. Falk, and N. K. Poulsen, “Sewer orientated framework for ensemble-based chance-constrained model predictive control,” Ad-vanced Control for Applications: Engineering and In-dustrial Systems, vol. 3, no. 4, p. e68, 2021.

[30] I. D. Mienye and Y. Sun, “A survey of ensemble learn-ing: Concepts, algorithms, applications, and prospects,” IEEE Access, vol. 10, pp. 99 129–99 149, 2022.

Cite This Article

Choose your preferred format

format_quote
Yassen, Mona Ahmed, Abdel-Fattah, Mohamed Gamal, Ismail, Islam, Kenawy, EL-Sayed M. El, Moustafa, Hossam El-Din. "An AI-Based System for Predicting Renewable Energy Power Output Using Advanced Optimization Algorithms." Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Metaheuristics, vol. 8, no. 1, 2024, pp. 01–05. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54216/JAIM.080101
Yassen, M., Abdel-Fattah, M., Ismail, I., Kenawy, E., Moustafa, H. (2024). An AI-Based System for Predicting Renewable Energy Power Output Using Advanced Optimization Algorithms. Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Metaheuristics, Volume 8(Issue 1), 01–05. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54216/JAIM.080101
Yassen, Mona Ahmed, Abdel-Fattah, Mohamed Gamal, Ismail, Islam, Kenawy, EL-Sayed M. El, Moustafa, Hossam El-Din. "An AI-Based System for Predicting Renewable Energy Power Output Using Advanced Optimization Algorithms." Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Metaheuristics Volume 8, no. Issue 1 (2024): 01–05. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54216/JAIM.080101
Yassen, M., Abdel-Fattah, M., Ismail, I., Kenawy, E., Moustafa, H. (2024) 'An AI-Based System for Predicting Renewable Energy Power Output Using Advanced Optimization Algorithms', Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Metaheuristics, Volume 8(Issue 1), pp. 01–05. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54216/JAIM.080101
Yassen M, Abdel-Fattah M, Ismail I, Kenawy E, Moustafa H. An AI-Based System for Predicting Renewable Energy Power Output Using Advanced Optimization Algorithms. Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Metaheuristics. 2024;Volume 8(Issue 1):01–05. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54216/JAIM.080101
M. Yassen, M. Abdel-Fattah, I. Ismail, E. Kenawy, H. Moustafa, "An AI-Based System for Predicting Renewable Energy Power Output Using Advanced Optimization Algorithms," Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Metaheuristics, vol. Volume 8, no. Issue 1, pp. 01–05, 2024. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54216/JAIM.080101
policy

Publisher's Note

The statements, opinions, and data presented in this article are solely those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of ASPG, the journal, or its editors. ASPG and the editors disclaim responsibility for any harm arising from the use of any ideas, methods, instructions, or products described in this article, to the fullest extent permitted by applicable law.

Digital Archive Ready