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Title

The Fusion of Inflation and Economic Growth: A Time Series Analysis

  Hakimov Hakimjon 1 * ,   Bakhriddinov Vikorjon 2 ,   Kodirov Ural 3 ,   Nilufar Nabieva 4

1  Tashkent State University of Economics, Tashkent city, Uzbekistan
    (h.hakimov@tsue.uz)

2  Tashkent State University of Economics, Tashkent city, Uzbekistan
    (v.bakhriddinov@tsue.uz)

3  Tashkent State University of Economics, Tashkent city, Uzbekistan
    (u.kodirov@tsue.uz)

4  Tashkent State University of Economics, Tashkent city, Uzbekistan
    (n.nabieva@tsue.uz)


Doi   :   https://doi.org/10.54216/FPA.150210

Received: August 27, 2023 Revised: December 07, 2023 Accepted: April 07, 2024

Abstract :

This study addresses the two types of fusion between inflation and economic growth in Uzbekistan. The first is the quantitative relationship between inflation and economic growth, and the second is the marginal relationship between them. The first relationship is based on a simple regression model, while the second analysis is carried out by a threshold regression model. Also, the threshold regression model itself has been analyzed using two methods (TSLS and OLS). The data for the research was covered from 2000 to 2022. Also, the variables used in the analysis were checked for stationarity by the Dickey-Fuller and Phillips-Perron tests. The predictors were included in the study after confirmation of hypothesis tests that were positive. According to the results of the study, the correlation between inflation and economic growth in Uzbekistan is negative. Particularly when inflation is lower than a certain level, economic growth is influenced positively, while it has a negative effect on economic growth when it exceeds a certain level. In general, the study determined the optimal level of inflation for Uzbekistan in terms of its positive impact on economic growth.

Keywords :

inflation; inflation-growth fusion; optimal inflation rate; threshold level; economic growth; GDP.

References :

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[13]      Baratova, D., Khasanov, K., Hakimov, H., Uktamov, K., & Gulomov, E. (2023). Ways to Develop Financial Resources in the Innovative Development of the Economy. In E3S Web of Conferences (Vol. 449, p. 05010). EDP Sciences.

[14]      Muhammad E. Balbaa, Zebo Kuldasheva, Nilufar Ismoilova, The Economic Impacts of Food Waste Carbon Footprint on climate change:The Case of Egypt, Journal of Financial Technology and Innovation, Vol. 2 , No. 1 , (2023) : 08-18 (Doi   :  https://doi.org/10.54216/FinTech-I.020101)

Fayzieva, M. (2023) Fusion Methodologies of the Assessment of the Effectiveness of Digital Technologies in Commercial Banks. Fusion: Practice and 


Cite this Article as :
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MLA Hakimov Hakimjon, Bakhriddinov Vikorjon, Kodirov Ural, Nilufar Nabieva. "The Fusion of Inflation and Economic Growth: A Time Series Analysis." Fusion: Practice and Applications, Vol. 15, No. 2, 2024 ,PP. 112-120 (Doi   :  https://doi.org/10.54216/FPA.150210)
APA Hakimov Hakimjon, Bakhriddinov Vikorjon, Kodirov Ural, Nilufar Nabieva. (2024). The Fusion of Inflation and Economic Growth: A Time Series Analysis. Journal of Fusion: Practice and Applications, 15 ( 2 ), 112-120 (Doi   :  https://doi.org/10.54216/FPA.150210)
Chicago Hakimov Hakimjon, Bakhriddinov Vikorjon, Kodirov Ural, Nilufar Nabieva. "The Fusion of Inflation and Economic Growth: A Time Series Analysis." Journal of Fusion: Practice and Applications, 15 no. 2 (2024): 112-120 (Doi   :  https://doi.org/10.54216/FPA.150210)
Harvard Hakimov Hakimjon, Bakhriddinov Vikorjon, Kodirov Ural, Nilufar Nabieva. (2024). The Fusion of Inflation and Economic Growth: A Time Series Analysis. Journal of Fusion: Practice and Applications, 15 ( 2 ), 112-120 (Doi   :  https://doi.org/10.54216/FPA.150210)
Vancouver Hakimov Hakimjon, Bakhriddinov Vikorjon, Kodirov Ural, Nilufar Nabieva. The Fusion of Inflation and Economic Growth: A Time Series Analysis. Journal of Fusion: Practice and Applications, (2024); 15 ( 2 ): 112-120 (Doi   :  https://doi.org/10.54216/FPA.150210)
IEEE Hakimov Hakimjon, Bakhriddinov Vikorjon, Kodirov Ural, Nilufar Nabieva, The Fusion of Inflation and Economic Growth: A Time Series Analysis, Journal of Fusion: Practice and Applications, Vol. 15 , No. 2 , (2024) : 112-120 (Doi   :  https://doi.org/10.54216/FPA.150210)