Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Metaheuristics

Journal DOI

https://doi.org/10.54216/JAIM

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2833-5597ISSN (Online)

An AI-Based System for Predicting Renewable Energy Power Output Using Advanced Optimization Algorithms

Mona Ahmed Yassen , Mohamed Gamal Abdel-Fattah , Islam Ismail , EL-Sayed M. El Kenawy , Hossam El-Din Moustafa

Accurate generation forecasting of Renewable Energy Sources (RES) is becoming more and more crucial for effective grid operation and energy management as RES are incorporated into the electrical grid. Because Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) algorithms can learn complicated relationships from data and provide accurate forecasts, they have become more popular than traditional forecasting approaches, which have limits.  This article examines the state of the art and future directions in the field of ML and DL-based forecasting of renewable energy generation. This paper reviews the several approaches and models that have been used to project renewable energy. It also highlights the challenges, such as managing the uncertainty and unpredictability of renewable energy output, data accessibility, and model interpret ability. To sum up, this study emphasizes how important it is to develop accurate and dependable renewable energy forecasting models to facilitate the future transition to sustainable energy sources and enable the integration of RES into the electrical grid.

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Doi: https://doi.org/10.54216/JAIM.080101

Vol. 8 Issue. 1 PP. 01-08, (2024)

A Comprehensive Review on Optimizing Machine Learning Models for Early Detection and Forecasting of Monkeypox Outbreaks

Ahmed El-Sayed Saqr , Ahmed M. Elshewey , Sekar Kidambi Raju , Marwa M. Eid

This is a significant problem in diagnosing zoonotic opportunistic 'emerging' diseases like Monkeypox, which require not only better diagnostics but also efficient, effective, and affordable diagnostics. This paper considers the possibilities of machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), and optimization algorithms for diagnosing and predicting Monkeypox. The presently employed strategies can be enhanced because clinical and imaging data can be harnessed to drive these technologies for early detection and subsequent containment activities. Generally, in a review, the authors offer information on how the diagnostic processes using ML and DL result in enhanced accuracy, specificity, and sensitivity of models, thus reducing design reliabilities. Furthermore, outbreak data is subjected to predictive modeling analysis to establish patterns useful in helping risk managers and policymakers prepare to manage future outbreaks. This system poses a new diagnostic model for Monkeypox and other zoonotic diseases by incorporating these complex computational tools into the present healthcare systems. This advancement not only strengthens the diagnostic arsenal of zoonotic diseases but also expands the possibilities for the interception and prevention of such diseases in the future at the world level.

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Doi: https://doi.org/10.54216/JAIM.080102

Vol. 8 Issue. 1 PP. 09-20, (2024)

Football Optimization Algorithm (FbOA): A Novel Metaheuristic Inspired by Team Strategy Dynamics

El-Sayed M. El-Kenawy , Faris H. Rizk , Ahmed Mohamed Zaki , Mahmoud Elshabrawy Mohamed , Abdelhameed Ibrahim , Abdelaziz A. Abdelhamid , Nima Khodadadi , Ehab M. Almetwally , Marwa M. Eid

The Football Optimization Algorithm (FbOA) is introduced as a novel population-based metaheuristic optimization technique inspired by the dynamic strategies of a football team. Designed to address complex optimization problems characterized by high dimensionality, nonlinearity, and multiple local optima, FbOA draws on the strategic balance between exploration and exploitation observed in football gameplay. The algorithm mimics players’ tactical positioning and movement, incorporating short passes, long passes, and positional adjustments to explore and exploit the solution space effectively. This study comprehensively evaluates the performance of FbOA using benchmark functions from the CEC 2005 test suite with 30-dimensional and 100- dimensional optimization problems. The results demonstrate that FbOA outperforms several state-of-the-art metaheuristic algorithms regarding convergence speed, accuracy, and robustness. The findings suggest that FbOA offers a promising alternative for solving various optimization challenges across multiple fields.

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Doi: https://doi.org/10.54216/JAIM.080103

Vol. 8 Issue. 1 PP. 21-38, (2024)

Ocotillo Optimization Algorithm (OcOA): A Desert-Inspired Metaheuristic for Adaptive Optimization

El-Sayed M. El-Kenawy , Faris H. Rizk , Ahmed Mohamed Zaki , Mahmoud Elshabrawy Mohamed , Abdelhameed Ibrahim , Abdelaziz A. Abdelhamid , Nima Khodadadi , Ehab M. Almetwally , Marwa M. Eid

In this paper, we propose the Ocotillo Optimization Algorithm (OcOA), a novel desert-inspired metaheuristic designed to solve complex optimization problems. Inspired by the adaptive strategies of desert plants, OcOA aims to achieve a balance between exploration and exploitation in high-dimensional and multimodal search spaces. The algorithm dynamically adjusts its behavior based on feedback from prior iterations, optimizing both search breadth and solution refinement. To evaluate its effectiveness, OcOA was tested against several well-known algorithms on a range of benchmark functions, including unimodal and multimodal functions from the CEC 2005 suite such as Sphere, Rosenbrock, Ackley, and Rastrigin. The results demonstrate that OcOA outperforms competing approaches in terms of accuracy, convergence speed, and computational efficiency. Additionally, its adaptability was validated through feature selection tasks, highlighting its robustness in handling both continuous and discrete optimization challenges. This study positions OcOA as a competitive optimization tool for various real-world applications

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Doi: https://doi.org/10.54216/JAIM.080104

Vol. 8 Issue. 1 PP. 39-59, (2024)

Weather Prediction: Predicting Rain Using Weather Conditions

Khaled Sh. Gaber , Mohamed Abd Elmonem Elsebaey , Ahmed Al-Sayed Ibrahim

Weather forecasting is a major discipline that plays an important role in fields such as agriculture, transport, and emergency management, and it largely depends on accurate forecasts. Concerning this problem, this work aimed to analyze the effectiveness of recurrent neural networks, particularly the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), for estimating rainfall depending on precipitation, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and wind speed. We will therefore use a large database containing recorded weather data obtained over several years to calibrate accurate predictive models designed to distinguish between drizzle, rain, sun, snow, and fog. The main idea of the work is to teach LSTM models that are capable of revealing temporal relations and patterns in sequential data, which makes them suitable to work on various time series forecasting such as weather prediction. The data is preprocessed effectively to clean it and make it ideal for our analysis to accurately compare the performance of one model against the others, we have divided the data into training, validation, and testing sets. The concurrency of the proposed LSTM model is then evaluated with the Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and the coefficient of determination (R²) to measure the forecasting accuracy. The findings show a better predictive performance uplift whereby the best-performing LSTM model has an MSE of 8.74, RMSE of 2.96, MAE of 2.35, and R² of 0.83. Such metrics represent logical dependence between the predicted and actual weather conditions, proving thus the efficiency of the model. Also, the evaluation shows how hyper parameters’ optimization, features’ selection, and normalization, make a huge difference in the model’s performance and indicate that the precise management of weather parameters can result in better forecasts. However, the contributors of this research are not recluded to theoretical perspective; the present study can be useful for various subjects since the dependability of weather forecasts can be improved. They will be advantaged to have more precise weather data for crop growing, road networks, and other transport systems to prepare for the worst conditions, and emergency, rescue operations to be in a better position to handle certain disasters. Consequently, this study improves the academic literature on weather peculiarities with unforeseen downpours through a demonstration and explanation of the potential of LSTM networks to analyze key meteorological characteristics for rainfall prediction. Possible future study directions are outlined, proposing the expansion of features beyond those analyzed in the existing study to improve the predictive models, the usage of continuous rather than weekly data, as well as considering the mixed-ingredients approach for increasing the prediction accuracy. This inclusive strategy seeks to enhance the realistic stages in the phased meteorological prognosis and also timely resource allocation and management tactics within climate volatility.

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Doi: https://doi.org/10.54216/JAIM.080105

Vol. 8 Issue. 1 PP. 60-69, (2024)