Volume 16 , Issue 2 , PP: 147-167, 2025 | Cite this article as | XML | Html | PDF | Full Length Article
Alamma B. H. 1 * , Manjula Sanjay Koti 2 , C. H. Vanipriya 3
Doi: https://doi.org/10.54216/JCIM.160211
In India, vector-borne illnesses are becoming a bigger problem. Because the government still faces difficulties in preventing and controlling these vector-borne illnesses, they have become a burden on society. Every year, a sizable section of India's population contracts this illness. Due to the difference in geographical and living standard of people, it becomes difficult to regulate these diseases at early stages in the present system. The main aim of the proposed research works was to design and developing a novel hybridized Kyasanur Forest Disease (KFD) prediction model that leverages a combination of rejuvenated machine-based learning model to enhancing seasonal forecasting & detection of vector-borne diseases. By integrating advanced algorithms such as SVM, NB, LR & Multi-layer perceptron, the research seeks to improving of the accuracy & reliabilities of the prediction related to KFD cases. This hybridized approach aims to better capture the complex relationships between seasonal factors, disease symptoms, and environmental conditions, thereby providing a more effective tool for early detection and management of KFD.
Kyasanru Forests Disease , Support Vectored Machines , Multi-layer Perceptrons , Naï , ve Baye , Simulation , Result
[1] National Academies of Sciences Engineering and Medicine, "Global health impacts of vector-borne diseases: workshop summary," Washington, DC, 2016. (doi:10.17226/21792).
[2] J. L. James et al., "2018 Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017," Lancet, vol. 392, pp. 1789–1858, 2018. (doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32279-7).
[3] D. J. Gubler, "Resurgent vector-borne diseases as a global health problem," Emerg. Infect. Dis., vol. 4, pp. 442–450, 1998. (doi:10.3201/eid0403.980326).
[4] C. Caminade, K. M. McIntyre, and A. E. Jones, "Impact of recent and future climate change on vector borne diseases," Ann. N. Y. Acad. Sci., vol. 1436, pp. 157–173, 2019. (doi:10.1111/nyas.13950).
[5] J. S. Gray, H. Dautel, A. Estrada-Peña, O. Kahl, and E. Lindgren, "Effects of climate change on ticks and tickborne diseases in Europe," Interdiscip. Perspect. Infect. Dis., vol. 2009, p. 593232, 2009. (doi:10.1155/2009/593232).
[6] C. Bouchard et al., "Increased risk of tickborne diseases with climate and environmental changes," Can. Commun. Dis. Rep., vol. 45, pp. 83–89, 2019. (doi:10.14745/ccdr.v45i04a02).
[7] D. Campbell-Lendrum et al., "Climate change and vectorborne diseases: what are the implications for public health research and policy?" Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B, vol. 370, pp. 1–8, 2015. (doi:10.1098/rstb.2013.0552).
[8] J. Semenza et al., "Determinants and drivers of infectious disease threat events in Europe," Emerg. Infect. Dis. J., vol. 22, p. 581, 2016. (doi:10.3201/eid2204.151073).
[9] J. Rocklöv and R. Dubrow, "Climate change: an enduring challenge for vector-borne disease prevention and control," Nat. Immunol., vol. 21, pp. 479–483, 2020. (doi:10.1038/s41590-020-0648-y).
[10] D. Sumilo et al., "Climate change cannot explain the upsurge of tickborne encephalitis in the Baltics," PLoS ONE, vol. 2, e500, 2007. (doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0000500).
[11] N. A. K. Alharbi, M. Alharbi, and R. S. Alshahrani, "The Role of Climate Change in the Emergence and Spread of Vector-Borne Diseases: A Review," International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, vol. 21, no. 4, p. 1245, 2024. DOI: 10.3390/ijerph21041245.
[12] J. C. Semenza and J. E. Suk, "Vector-borne diseases and climate change: a European perspective," FEMS Microbiol. Lett., vol. 365, fnx244, 2018. (doi:10.1093/femsle/fnx244).
[13] F. Fouque and J. C. Reeder, "Impact of past and ongoing changes on climate and weather on vector borne diseases transmission: a look at the evidence," Infect. Dis. Poverty, vol. 8, p. 51, 2019. (doi:10.1186/s40249-019-0565-1).
[14] M. Negev et al., "Impacts of climate change on vector borne diseases in the Mediterranean basin—implications for preparedness and adaptation policy," Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health, vol. 12, pp. 6745–6770, 2015. (doi:10.3390/ijerph120606745).
[15] T. Sadeghieh et al., "A scoping review of importation and predictive models related to vector-borne diseases, pathogens, reservoirs, or vectors (1999–2016)," PLoS ONE, vol. 15, e0227678, 2020. (doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0227678).
[16] A. Kumar and B. Neeraja, "A Novel Hybrid Kyasanur Forest Disease (KFD) Prediction Model for Seasonal Vector-Borne Disease Detection," International Journal of Engineering and Technology, vol. 14, no. 2, pp. 150–160, 2024.
[17] S. Sharma, R. Singh, and M. Raj, "Performance Comparison of Machine Learning Algorithms for Infectious Disease Detection," IEEE Access, vol. 11, pp. 31567–31576, 2023.
[18] R. Patel and M. Iqbal, "Data Visualization Techniques for EDA in Disease Prediction," in Proc. 10th IEEE Int. Conf. on Data Science and Analytics (ICDSA), Jaipur, India, 2022, pp. 112–118.
[19] S. K. Yadav and P. Y. Deshmukh, "Feature Correlation and Ensemble Modeling in Biomedical Datasets," IEEE Reviews in Biomedical Engineering, vol. 15, pp. 212–223, 2022.
[20] M. P. Thomas, R. K. Arora, and V. Gupta, "A Comparative Study of KNN, SVM, and MLP for Disease Classification," in Proc. IEEE Int. Conf. on Computing, Communication, and Intelligent Systems (ICCCIS), Greater Noida, India, Mar. 2023, pp. 345–350.