Fusion: Practice and Applications
FPA
2692-4048
2770-0070
10.54216/FPA
https://www.americaspg.com/journals/show/4100
2018
2018
Optimizing Smart-Home Energy Forecasting with Evolutionary Attention-based LSTM and Greylag Goose Optimization
Delta Higher Institute of Engineering and Technology, Department for Communications and Electronics, Mansoura 35511, Egypt; Applied Science Research Center. Applied Science Private University, Amman, Jordan
El
El-Sayed
This study addresses the challenge of smart-home energy forecasting across multiple appliances under varying temperature and seasonal regimes, aiming to improve demand planning and household energy efficiency. The analysis leverages a 100,000-row dataset from Kaggle, encompassing appliance type, time of consumption, outdoor temperature, season, and household size. The study benchmarks several recurrent neural network models, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and Bidirectional RNN (BiRNN), as well as a feedforward Artificial Neural Network (ANN). A novel enhancement, the Evolutionary Attention-based LSTM (EALSTM), is introduced, and its hyperparameters are optimized using the Greylag Goose Optimization (GGO) algorithm. The performance of GGO-optimized EALSTM is compared to other metaheuristics, such as Differential Evolution (DE), Genetic Algorithm (GA), Quantum-Inspired Optimization (QIO), JAYA, Bat Algorithm (BA), and Stochastic Fractal Search (SFS). The results indicate that GGO-optimized EALSTM outperforms all other models, achieving superior accuracy across multiple metrics, including MSE, RMSE, MAE, r, R2 , RRMSE, NSE, and WI. Key contributions of the paper include (i) the establishment of an appliance- and season-aware forecasting benchmark, (ii) a comprehensive optimizer comparison for EALSTM using GGO, and (iii) the provision of actionable visual analytics to enhance the understanding of energy demand patterns and model errors.
2026
2026
283
305
10.54216/FPA.210218
https://www.americaspg.com/articleinfo/3/show/4100