Fusion: Practice and Applications
  FPA
  2692-4048
  2770-0070
  
   10.54216/FPA
   https://www.americaspg.com/journals/show/4100
  
 
 
  
   2018
  
  
   2018
  
 
 
  
   Optimizing Smart-Home Energy Forecasting with Evolutionary Attention-based LSTM and Greylag Goose Optimization
  
  
   Delta Higher Institute of Engineering and Technology, Department for Communications and Electronics, Mansoura 35511, Egypt; Applied Science Research Center. Applied Science Private University, Amman, Jordan
   
    El
    El-Sayed
   
  
  
   
This study addresses the challenge of smart-home energy forecasting across multiple appliances under varying temperature and seasonal regimes, aiming to improve demand planning and household energy efficiency. The analysis leverages a 100,000-row dataset from Kaggle, encompassing appliance type, time of consumption, outdoor temperature, season, and household size. The study benchmarks several recurrent neural network models, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and Bidirectional RNN (BiRNN), as well as a feedforward Artificial Neural Network (ANN). A novel enhancement, the Evolutionary Attention-based LSTM (EALSTM), is introduced, and its hyperparameters are optimized using the Greylag Goose Optimization (GGO) algorithm. The performance of GGO-optimized EALSTM is compared to other metaheuristics, such as Differential Evolution (DE), Genetic Algorithm (GA), Quantum-Inspired Optimization (QIO), JAYA, Bat Algorithm (BA), and Stochastic Fractal Search (SFS). The results indicate that GGO-optimized EALSTM outperforms all other models, achieving superior accuracy across multiple metrics, including MSE, RMSE, MAE, r, R2 , RRMSE, NSE, and WI. Key contributions of the paper include (i) the establishment of an appliance- and season-aware forecasting benchmark, (ii) a comprehensive optimizer comparison for EALSTM using GGO, and (iii) the provision of actionable visual analytics to enhance the understanding of energy demand patterns and model errors.
  
  
   2026
  
  
   2026
  
  
   283
   305
  
  
   10.54216/FPA.210218
   https://www.americaspg.com/articleinfo/3/show/4100