Journal of Intelligent Systems and Internet of Things

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https://doi.org/10.54216/JISIoT

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2690-6791ISSN (Online) 2769-786XISSN (Print)

Volume 17 , Issue 2 , PP: 36-49, 2025 | Cite this article as | XML | Html | PDF | Full Length Article

Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Predictive Healthcare in Chronic Disease Management

Dena Kadhim Muhsen 1 * , Bushra Fuaad Khmas‎‎ 2 , Amjed Abbas Ahmed 3 , Ahmed T. Sadiq 4

  • 1 Computer Science College, University of Technology, 10066 Baghdad, Iraq - (dena.k.muhsen@uotechnology.edu.iq)
  • 2 Computer Science College, University of Technology, 10066 Baghdad, Iraq - (bushra.f.khammas@uotechnology.edu.iq)
  • 3 Imam Al-Kadhum College (IKC), Iraq - (amjedabbas@alkadhum-col.edu.iq)
  • 4 Computer Science College, University of Technology, 10066 Baghdad, Iraq - (ahmed.t.sadiq@uotechnology.edu.iq)
  • Doi: https://doi.org/10.54216/JISIoT.170204

    Received: January 25, 2025 Revised: March 27, 2025 Accepted: May 29, 2025
    Abstract

    This study investigates the application of AI-powered predictive analytics in chronic disease management, focusing on the most effective machine learning models for predicting patient risk and optimizing healthcare interventions, like Random Forest, Linear Regression, Support Vector Machines (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), and Gradient Boosting were evaluated using a dataset of 10,000 patient records. The models were assessed based on their accuracy, interpretability, and clinical relevance. Gradient Boosting attained the highest predictive accuracy, with an AUC of 0.89. Random Forest followed closely with an AUC of 0.85, offering a good balance of accuracy and interpretability. Linear Regression, with an AUC of 0.75, demonstrated the trade-offs between simplicity and model performance, while SVM and KNN performed with AUCs of 0.82 and 0.78, respectively, with SVM being robust but facing scalability challenges and KNN being less practical for large datasets. These AI models improve patient outcomes, decrease healthcare costs, and optimize healthcare delivery.

    Keywords :

    AI , Predictive analytics , Chronic disease management , Machine learning models , Personalized care

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    Cite This Article As :
    Kadhim, Dena. , Fuaad, Bushra. , Abbas, Amjed. , T., Ahmed. Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Predictive Healthcare in Chronic Disease Management. Journal of Intelligent Systems and Internet of Things, vol. , no. , 2025, pp. 36-49. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54216/JISIoT.170204
    Kadhim, D. Fuaad, B. Abbas, A. T., A. (2025). Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Predictive Healthcare in Chronic Disease Management. Journal of Intelligent Systems and Internet of Things, (), 36-49. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54216/JISIoT.170204
    Kadhim, Dena. Fuaad, Bushra. Abbas, Amjed. T., Ahmed. Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Predictive Healthcare in Chronic Disease Management. Journal of Intelligent Systems and Internet of Things , no. (2025): 36-49. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54216/JISIoT.170204
    Kadhim, D. , Fuaad, B. , Abbas, A. , T., A. (2025) . Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Predictive Healthcare in Chronic Disease Management. Journal of Intelligent Systems and Internet of Things , () , 36-49 . DOI: https://doi.org/10.54216/JISIoT.170204
    Kadhim D. , Fuaad B. , Abbas A. , T. A. [2025]. Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Predictive Healthcare in Chronic Disease Management. Journal of Intelligent Systems and Internet of Things. (): 36-49. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54216/JISIoT.170204
    Kadhim, D. Fuaad, B. Abbas, A. T., A. "Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Predictive Healthcare in Chronic Disease Management," Journal of Intelligent Systems and Internet of Things, vol. , no. , pp. 36-49, 2025. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54216/JISIoT.170204