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  <doi_batch_id>aspg-38-4310-1792223531</doi_batch_id>
  <timestamp>20261017075211</timestamp>
  <depositor>
   <depositor_name>American Scientific Publishing Group</depositor_name>
   <email_address>admin@americaspg.com</email_address>
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  <registrant>American Scientific Publishing Group</registrant>
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  <journal>
   <journal_metadata language="en">
    <full_title>Journal of Sustainable Development and Green Technology</full_title>
    <abbrev_title>JSDGT</abbrev_title>
    <issn media_type="electronic">2836-5399</issn>
   </journal_metadata>
   <journal_issue>
    <publication_date media_type="online">
     <year>2026</year>
    </publication_date>
    <journal_volume>
     <volume>6</volume>
    </journal_volume>
    <issue>1</issue>
   </journal_issue>
   <journal_article publication_type="full_text">
    <titles>
     <title>Business Analytics for Green Electricity Transition Planning: Explainable Forecasting of Renewable Electricity Shares from Cross-Country Energy Indicators</title>
    </titles>
    <contributors>
     <person_name sequence="first" contributor_role="author">
      <given_name>Saad</given_name>
      <surname>Metawea</surname>
      <affiliations>
       <institution>
        <institution_name>Professor of Finance, Faculty of Commerce, Mansoura University, Egypt</institution_name>
       </institution>
      </affiliations>
     </person_name>
     <person_name sequence="additional" contributor_role="author">
      <given_name>Maha</given_name>
      <surname>Metawea</surname>
      <affiliations>
       <institution>
        <institution_name>Associate Professor of Finance, Faculty of Business Administration, Delta University for Science and Technology, Egypt</institution_name>
       </institution>
      </affiliations>
     </person_name>
    </contributors>
    <jats:abstract>
     <jats:p>Renewable electricity growth is central to sustainable development, decarbonization, and green-technology planning. However, much of the forecasting literature remains focused on plant-level or narrow-horizon technical prediction, with limited attention to country-level decision support for investment screening, transition monitoring, and strategic benchmarking. This study develops a business analytics framework to forecast the renewable share of electricity generation and classify countries by renewable-transition level using a cross-country panel based on the Our World in Data Energy database. The empirical sample comprises 5,162 country-year observations from 213 countries over the period 2000–2025 and includes measures of electricity demand, electricity generation, primary energy use, greenhouse-gas emissions, and energy-system structure. Three regression models and three classification models were evaluated using a fixed train–test de sign. The random-forest regressor achieved the best continuous forecasting performance, with MAE = 3.536, RMSE = 6.466, and R2 = 0.960, while the random-forest classifier delivered the best tier-classification performance, with 93.998% accuracy and macro-F1 = 0.940. Feature-importance analysis identified greenhouse-gas emissions, energy intensity, electricity generation, electricity demand, and per-capita electricity consumption as the most influential predictors. The findings indicate that renewable-transition benchmarking can be framed as a managerial analytics problem, extending sustainability research beyond descriptive monitoring toward practical decision support for business and policy planning.</jats:p>
    </jats:abstract>
    <publication_date media_type="online">
     <year>2026</year>
    </publication_date>
    <pages>
     <first_page>09</first_page>
     <last_page>15</last_page>
    </pages>
    <publisher_item>
     <item_number item_number_type="article-number">4310</item_number>
    </publisher_item>
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     <ai:license_ref applies_to="vor">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ai:license_ref>
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     <doi>10.54216/JSDGT.060102</doi>
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